Weekend box office forecast: Shang-Chi aims for third weekend # 1 as Copshop and Cry Macho Eye get off to a smooth start


Photo credits: Disney / Marvel Studios (“Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”); Warner Bros. (“Cry Macho”); Open road / Juan Miguel Azpiroz (“Copshop”)

After two banner weekends at the box office, Shang-Chi and the legend of the ten rings looking to easily three peat at the top of the domestic market.

Disney’s hit Marvel Studios has recorded several important benchmarks so far, including the all-time Labor Day weekend record ($ 75.4 million over three days) and the third-highest opening frame. and second year ($ 23.2 million) in industry history – behind just the two This films ($ 60.1 million and $ 39.6 million, respectively). Shang-Chi also marked the best second weekend of all films released during the pandemic, surpassing Black Widowis $ 25.9 million.

Such momentum is expected to continue as strong word of mouth propels the crowd-pleasing superhero film. Its premium screen footprint will remain largely intact this weekend. Not only should a third better pandemic image be on the deck (a rating owned by A Quiet Place, Part II$ 12 million in June), Shang-Chi has a good chance of overtaking It: chapter twoIt’s $ 17 million for the second highest third gross weekend of any movie in September history. The first one This posted $ 29.8 million on weekend three in 2017.

As and when Marvel compositions, Black Widow slipped 55% in his third frame, Black Panther decreased by 41 percent, and guardians of the galaxy fell only 40 percent. With a lack of competition entering the market, Shang-Chi may approach or better the latter two of these comparisons as the film pursues its goal of making the board work until Venom: let there be carnage arrives October 1.

On the new release front, things look calm again during this mostly abandoned hallway in early fall before things pick up speed again in October. Warner Bros., fresh out of the box office hybrid dud Smart last weekend, pushes Clint Eastwood crying macho Streaming and free to HBO Max streaming subscribers this Friday.

Eastwood films have had box office ups and downs in recent years, but macho is unfortunately a very conservative trend compared to the likes of 2018 The mule. This photo scored $ 17.5 million in its opening December frame, reaching $ 103.8 million nationally and nearly $ 175 million globally. The latest addition to the iconic filmmaker and actor is more in the sense of Richard jewell, which fell to $ 4.7 million nationally in December 2019.

In addition to the repeated cannibalization of a movie available at home on the day of its theatrical release, crying machoThe target audience of s will likely lean towards older men. This audience was a staple for driving films like Let him go and The sniper throughout the first few months of reopening theaters during the pandemic, but there remains a more cautious demographic to return to theaters than younger customers right now due to the Delta variant and unvaccinated concerns. Additionally, these aforementioned compositions were not available to stream for free.

Meanwhile, critics have so far marked crying macho to a disappointing 53 percent clip.

Meanwhile, Open Road will also return to the fray with Copshop This weekend. Gerard Butler’s audience might turn out, but this is otherwise another low-profile, male-led version that more follows the likes of The protected and Reminiscence as the star’s most successful action films in recent years. Social media impressions are lukewarm at this point ahead of release, but early reviews from critics are 76% positive.

Forecast ranges

Shang-Chi and the legend of the ten rings
Third weekend range: $ 20 – $ 26 million

Copshop
Weekend opening range: $ 1 to $ 4 million
Total domestic range: $ 2.5 to $ 10 million

crying macho
Weekend opening range: $ 1 to $ 5 million
Total domestic range: $ 2 to $ 15 million

Weekend forecast

The box office projects of the ten best films of this weekend will be decrease between 20 and 30 percent of the top 10 total of $ 58.5 million from last weekend.

Movie Distributer 3-day weekend forecast Indoor total projected until Sunday, September 19 Number of locations % change since last weekend
Shang-Chi and the legend of the ten rings Disney / Marvel Studios $ 23,000,000 $ 177,800,000 4,070 -34%
free guy 20th century workshops $ 4,500,000 $ 107,700,000 3,288 -19%
Candy Universal Images $ 3,300,000 $ 52,800,000 2,820 -31%
crying macho Photos of Warner Bros. $ 2,800,000 $ 2,800,000 ~ 3,900 NEW
Smart Photos of Warner Bros. $ 2,500,000 $ 9,500,000 ~ 3.485 -54%
Copshop Open road films $ 2,400,000 $ 2,400,000 3,005 NEW
Jungle cruise Walt disney studios $ 1,900,000 $ 112,400,000 2,265 -18%
Paw Patrol: The Movie Paramount Pictures $ 1,800,000 $ 37,200,000 2 269 -22%
Don’t breathe 2 Sony Pictures / Colombia $ 700,000 $ 31,400,000 1003 -39%
The card counter Focus features $ 500,000 $ 2,000,000 584 -52%

All predictions subject to revision before first confirmation of Thursday previews or Friday estimates from studios or alternative sources.

The number of theaters is updated as confirmed by the studios.


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